Monday, November 22, 2021

Tell Me What is Wrong With This

The spreadsheet is from Deaths by vaccination status, England.  Table 4.  Age-specific death rates per 100,000 week ending 24-Sep-21 ages 10-59: 

Unvaccinated: 0.9; Within 21 days of first vaccination: 1.7; 21 days or more after first vaccination: 2.1; second dose: 2.2.

Perhaps this is some quirk of recent history.  At first glance, it looks like vaccinated ages 10-59 are at higher risk of death than the unvaccinated.


  1. That report has been published weekly, and since week 44 has shown the same data trends.

  2. For the record, I'm not antia-vax but I'm anti these vaxes. Having said that, the quoted statistics may not be as negative as they sound. The range 10-59 is overly broad with unvaxed likely being dominated by younger people who are less likely to die of any cause and vaxed being dominated by older people who are more likely to die of any cause. Better statistics would show a comparison of more narrowly defined age groups - say 5 or 10 years.

  3. Selection bias. People who are at higher risk from Covid are more likely to get vaccinated. And also more likely to die of their risk factors.