New Yorker article. He interviewed campaign consultants on both sides. Republican victory will largely be Democrat incompetence in focusing on issues where their base cares, such as abortion, while ignoring issues that their base considers unimportant such as crime and inflation (What sort of gauche people worry about violent crime and paying bills?). Republicans have also focused on popular issues such as illegal immigration and transgender crazy. Black and Hispanic voters are moving to the GOP over morality and economic issues.
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