I follow Canadian politics because:
1. They are closest ally, in spite of current posturing. What affects them, affects us.
2. They are also closest ally geographically. Unsurprisingly, they are culturally quite similar as much as many Canadians bristle at the idea.
3. They are a reminder where saying PBS(eh?) or NPR(eh?) destroys a nation's political senses.
4. In spite of Trump's needling them about becoming the 51st state, we would not want all of Canada. Imagine California with more severe transphilia. You think I exaggerate? 4/24/25 National Post:
Ontario’s top court has ruled the province must cover the cost of a penile-sparing vaginoplasty for a transgender resident who does not identify as exclusively female or male and who wishes to have both genitalia.
Article content
In a unanimous decision released this week, a three-judge panel of the Ontario Court of Appeal confirmed a lower court’s ruling that the novel phallus-preserving surgery qualifies as an insured service under the Ontario Health Insurance Plan....
The legal battle between K.S., whose sex at birth was male, dates to 2022, when the Ontario Health Insurance Plan (OHIP) refused her request to pay for the cost of surgery at a Texas clinic to construct a vagina while sparing the penis, a procedure this is not available in Ontario, or anywhere else in Canada.
Wow! This almost makes ordinary sex-reassignment seem normal by comparison.
You doubtless saw that the Liberals won the election a couple days ago. More precisely, they have enough seats to form a minority government. In a parliamentary system, if no party gets a majority, they can combine with other minority parties to form a majority coalition.
Minority coalition governments are not terribly stable. My favorite example was in 1933 Gemany, where one small minority party was convinced that could keep control over the leader of the bigger minority party, the guy with the brush moustache.
The Liberals will either coalition with the New Democratic Party (NDP) which is even more insanely left than the Liberals, or Bloc Québécois (BQ), a left-of-center Quebec separatist party. The net result is more the crap that made Biden so popular here, but magnified considerably.
The map:
Source: By Eric0892 - Own work, CC BY 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=157434617
The Conservative Party (think RINO with snow) did very well in parts of Ontario, all of Saskatchewan, much of Manitoba, and all of Alberta. Surprisingly, many parts of British Columbia (the parts with more bears than people) also voted Conservative Party (CP). If you did not learn the provinces' names and capitals in elementary school, I am sorry. Time to learn.
The western provinces resent several things:
1. They have vast reserves of oil shale, which the Liberals intend to make unavailable through a net zero policy.
2. They are blocked from building pipelines to any seashore for sale abroad.
3. High tariffs will cause great damage to them for exports to America and the increased cost of American goods. Look how close those provinces are to American states with similar geography and culture and how far away Ottawa is.
3. They are taxed very heavily to subsidize the poor Atlantic provinces and greedy Quebec (think the DC swamp speaking French).
4. Alberta strongly resents the Canadian Wheat Board which screws wheat farmers out of their profits.
5. To a lesser extent, the national gun laws. My impression is that many of the westerners would find New York State gun laws as of 2022 acceptable but even that is too lax for the Liberals.
There has been an incipient separatist movement in some of the prairie provinces for some years. The recent election is pumping energy into this. Alberta Premier (roughly the same as a state governor) Danielle Smith has in some way that I do really understand (tabled means something different in British legislative language than it does here)
arranged to lower the signature requirement for a referendum from 20% of voters to 10%. This makes a referendum petition for separation much easier.
Strictly speaking, Canada is a confederation, and a vote of province at referendum is enough. This threat may get the LP to treat the prairie provinces better.
There is talk of independent nationhood, perhaps in union with other breakaway provinces. Some Albertans would like to add another star to our flag. Lower taxes, no tariff barriers with the U.S., freedom from the Canadian Wheat Board.
I would welcome Alberta, Saskatchewan. and Manitoba, all of which would likely be pretty centrist additions. We would become an even larger oil and natural gas producer, more wheat, more people that want to be left alone.