Northern Lights Planning
The Aurora Borealis (Latin for “northern dawn”) is among the
most awe-inspiring natural phenomena, comparable in my experience to a total
solar eclipse. You get dancing displays
of green, pink, and gray, with curtains shimmering in the cold night sky, often
appearing and disappearing every few seconds.
How do you improve your odds of seeing them? There is a widely held belief that seeing
them on a vacation is largely random.
Northern Lights tours are offered, but unless your tour includes a full
28 day solar rotation cycle, your odds are not spectacular. This article provides some planning advice
for those who can’t afford 2-4 weeks of travel hoping to see them, or like
having more control over their vacations.
My wife and I have made two Northern Lights trips in the
last few years: one to Edmonton that failed (for reasons that caused me to
research the topic in more detail), and one to Fairbanks that was a complete
success. Here’s what I learned about how
to make a successful and reasonably priced trip.
There are several factors that determine Northern Lights
visibility: solar storm activity; geomagnetic latitude; dark skies; clear skies;
and topography.
Solar Storm Activity
This is of course the most important (because solar storms
cause the Northern Lights) and the hardest to predict long-term. The University of Alaska, Fairbanks has a
website showing short-term aurora forecasts which are accurate for several upcoming
days (http://www.gi.alaska.edu/AuroraForecast).
Arranging airfares for a few days in advance is very expensive. Fortunately, the Sun rotates about every 28
days, so if March 1 has strong solar storm activity, March 29, plus or minus a
few days, is very likely to have a good display. Plan to arrive a couple days before the next
likely peak and stay a couple days past.
Geomagnetic Latitude
Northern Lights are caused by charged particles from the Sun
falling into the Earth’s magnetic field where it is weakest, near the Earth’s
magnetic poles. The north magnetic pole
is currently near Elsmere Island in northern Canada; distance from that point
determines where the Northern Lights can be seen. Generally, across central Alaska, northern
Canada, southern Greenland, Iceland, northern Scandinavia, and northern Russia. This diagram is from the University of
Alaska, Fairbanks web site:
On rare occasions with very strong solar storms, you may
even see auroras in the southern U.S.
Dark Skies
The auroras are always present, but if the sky is bright
(such as daytime or twilight) you won’t see them. You need nighttime, preferably with a New
Moon, or at least at first or third quarter, and away from city lights. Complicating this, nights are longest in the
northern latitudes in the depths of winter, when standing outside at night is
not very pleasant. This website shows
sunrise, sunset, and twilight times for any city, as well as upcoming Moon
phases: https://www.timeanddate.com/.
We went to Fairbanks in late April, at a New Moon, because
it was only freezing at night. While
city lights are bad, when we arrived at our lodgings in Fairbanks, at 2:00 AM,
there was a green aurora visible over the parking lot. Driving out of town about forty miles dramatically
improved our view. We stayed up until
midnight before heading out; in retrospect, setting an alarm for 2:00 AM, then
loading up on coffee before heading out makes more sense. The sky was lightening up by 3:30 AM in late
April, so early rising may not work except in the depths of winter. As spring arrives in the polar regions, this
bright sky late into the night and in the early morning produces an effect
called “white nights” by the Russians.
Clear Skies
Clouds are obviously a problem. The light from the auroras comes from 60 to
200 miles up—far above the clouds. https://weatherspark.com/ provides average
temperatures and cloud cover based on historical data. I see that we were unusually fortunate on
cloudiness for our April trip.
Topography
Our experience was that the Northern Lights in Fairbanks
were generally high in the sky, from 45o to 90o above the
horizon. Depending on your geomagnetic
latitude, they may be lower. Being in a
valley or surrounded by trees along a road will therefore block your view. High points are a good choice. Chena Hot Springs, well east of Fairbanks with
very dark skies, provides aurora tours that take you to mountaintops. Instead, we were at the side of a lonely
highway south of Fairbanks on the edge of a vast forest. Warning: Grizzly bears and wolves are active
at night in the forests; being disemboweled will ruin your Northern Lights
trip.
Planning Your Aurora Trip
As you can see, there is a bit of work required to combine
reasonable airfares with a high probability of seeing auroras.
Pictures
These single exposures were shot with a Pentax K10D at f/8,
with a 52mm lens, ISO 1600, 30 second exposure.
A camera with a higher ISO range would have worked much better, and made
time lapse photography effective.
"Elsmere Island in northern Canada"...
ReplyDeleteITYM Ellesmere Island.