Trump is Going to Win

Rallies in California and Colorado.   His polling probably shows that he has exceeded the margin of cheating in the swing states that he needs to get past 270 electoral votes and he is just making Harris spend resources on what should be solidly Blue states.   

12/13/24 NBC News:

"Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are deadlocked in the latest national NBC News poll, with Trump bolstered by Republicans coming back home to support him after last month’s rough debate and a subsequent polling deficit, as well as by a favorable voter assessment of Trump’s term as president."

Even for national popular vote means they are preparing the childless cat ladies for trauma.  Trump usually outperforms polling numbers, both because polls overpoll Democrsts and I suspect a lot of Trump voters are reluctant to admit, perhaps even to themselves, who they are voting for a few weeks hence.  In any case, the electoral college gives small states a disproportionate influence relative to the popular vote as was intended 

Still, as Han Solo told Luke Skywalker in the final battle of Star Wars, "Don't get cocky."  We probably need a 10 point advantage to overcome the dead votes.