Monday, April 1, 2013

The Economist Is Even Figuring Out That Global Warming Predictions Are In Trouble

The March 30, 2013 The Economist finally admits that there are some serious concerns about the accuracy of the global warming predictions:
OVER the past 15 years air temperatures at the Earth’s surface have been flat while greenhouse-gas emissions have continued to soar. The world added roughly 100 billion tonnes of carbon to the atmosphere between 2000 and 2010. That is about a quarter of all the CO₂ put there by humanity since 1750. And yet, as James Hansen, the head of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, observes, “the five-year mean global temperature has been flat for a decade.”
This graph over at Watts Up With That? points out how much trouble the predictions are in:


The actual observed temperatures are about to fall through the bottom of the 95% confidence interval prediction of global temperatures.  James Hansen at NASA is arguing that it is the increase in goal burning that is causing this -- increased particulate matter is blocking sunlight more than increased CO2 is holding in the heat.  It isn't confidence inspiring, is it?

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