OVER the past 15 years air temperatures at the Earth’s surface have been flat while greenhouse-gas emissions have continued to soar. The world added roughly 100 billion tonnes of carbon to the atmosphere between 2000 and 2010. That is about a quarter of all the CO₂ put there by humanity since 1750. And yet, as James Hansen, the head of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies, observes, “the five-year mean global temperature has been flat for a decade.”This graph over at Watts Up With That? points out how much trouble the predictions are in:
The actual observed temperatures are about to fall through the bottom of the 95% confidence interval prediction of global temperatures. James Hansen at NASA is arguing that it is the increase in goal burning that is causing this -- increased particulate matter is blocking sunlight more than increased CO2 is holding in the heat. It isn't confidence inspiring, is it?