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Saturday, May 31, 2025

Nothing to Worry About: Iran Has 408 kg of 60% Enriched Uranium

5/31/25 Wall Street Journal:
"The International Atomic Energy Agency said in a confidential report circulated to member states that Iran had grown its stockpile of 60%-enriched uranium to 408.6 kilograms from 274.8 kilograms in early February, an increase of around 50%. The Wall Street Journal viewed a copy of the report."

For those reluctant to do the math, 15kg appears to be supercritical mass for a U-235 bomb.  Usually 90% U-235 is minimum for a bomb.  This would suggest 244 kg of U-235 with a lot more centrifuging or 16 Hiroshima-sized bombs.  Unlike an implosion device, U-235 can be turned onto a bomb that requires no testing.   We did not test Little Boy (a U-235 bomb) before using it on Nagasaki.  There was no need.  Our first sign of an Iranian successful product might well be a mushroom cloud over Jerusalem or Washington. DC.  Either one would cause thermonuclear war.  

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