Real Clear Politics has its round-up of the current situation. For the House, they are showing 205 seats Likely Republican or Lean Republican, with 37 seats labeled Tossups--meaning that they could go either way. But only one of those 37 seats is currently held by a Republican. If even half of those seats go Republican, that's a narrow Republican majority in the House--and this is a year when Democrats have a lot to fear. The electorate that is going to vote is furious.
The Senate is almost as good: 45 seats are Likely Republican or Lean Republican (or a Republican holds the seat and does not have to run this year). Six seats are Tossups--and every single one of them is held by a Democrat right now--including seats that should not be in play, such as Barbara Boxer (D-CA), Reid (D-NV), and Patty Murray (D-WA). The Democrats might hold the Senate, but it won't be by much.
All that said, I really wish that I had more hope for the next Congress. I fear that the same garbage that dominated the Republican Party for most of Bush's two terms is going to still be in charge--a crowd that is better than the Democrats, but not by much. I hope the Tea Party is getting the message through to the tax and spend establishment Republicans--we are way past the point where more of the same is going to work.
A Republican victory would perhaps stall the damage done by the Democrats.
ReplyDeleteBut Obama as President would veto any attempt to undo the damage already done.
Furthermore, much damage could be done by Executive fiat, with Congress blocked from interfering.
Card check, amnesty (and mass naturalization) for illegal aliens, "adjustment" of the 2010 Census for alleged undercounts...
The next two years are going to be ugly.