tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2807403883562053852.post6703388401416622298..comments2024-03-27T08:40:31.785-06:00Comments on Clayton Cramer.: Why I Am Less Fearful About Ebola Than I Used To BeClayton Cramerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03258083387204776812noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2807403883562053852.post-43050989886977001072014-10-06T08:58:34.619-06:002014-10-06T08:58:34.619-06:00After looking at a couple of papers, one of which ...After looking at a couple of papers, one of which might have said it doesn't appear that this mutation would provide help with Ebola, I noted one inherent issue: the protective mutation is necessarily recessive.<br /><br />If you have only one copy of the mutation, that is, you're heterozygous, the other, normal one will produce half of the CCR5 proteins in cells, and a virus will get in through those. One paper seemed to imply that being homozygous for this mutation was rare.ThatWouldBeTellinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16910231314995266781noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2807403883562053852.post-76987712668792109322014-10-05T22:46:05.672-06:002014-10-05T22:46:05.672-06:00What will stop an epidemic is the fact the we are ...What will stop an epidemic is the fact the we are mostly a first world nation. Even Nigeria stopped an outbreak recently by just doing a few things.<br /><br />That genetic is just the tiniest of factors protecting us, and is not enough to make a dent in the epidemic.<br /><br />Consider AIDS, which is spread similarly to Ebola (although Ebola spreads somewhat easier - but in either case we are talking bodily fluids). It spread almost completely due to poor hygiene (causing hemophiliacs to be killed as the result of irresponsible behavior of others). But, it didn't get loose in the general population for the same reason Ebola wont.StormCchaserhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02998174514362089471noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2807403883562053852.post-32703074378996511322014-10-04T21:46:11.124-06:002014-10-04T21:46:11.124-06:00Well, it wasn't Clayton but President Obala th...Well, it wasn't Clayton but President Obala that wouldn't do the screening.Richardhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13416410052064018322noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2807403883562053852.post-83742761622922346992014-10-02T19:51:44.011-06:002014-10-02T19:51:44.011-06:00It's about 20% of Scandinavians and Scots, dec...It's about 20% of Scandinavians and Scots, decreasing as you get farther away. <br />Clayton, that is rather more cold-blooded than I like. I wish Democrats would vote a lot less, and stop moving out of states they have ruined, nothing worse.Tom Bridgelandhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13098048586042365606noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2807403883562053852.post-3843673854072649182014-10-02T09:55:44.886-06:002014-10-02T09:55:44.886-06:0010% won't prevent an epidemic, but it will slo...10% won't prevent an epidemic, but it will slow it down.Clayton Cramerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03258083387204776812noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2807403883562053852.post-26183670037733089302014-10-02T06:05:53.021-06:002014-10-02T06:05:53.021-06:00Following up - I've found other articles that ...Following up - I've found other articles that claim that up to 20% of western europeans carry the mutation. But if you look at the data for other infectious diseases, you need an 80-90% immunization rate before you observe a herd effect that essentially prevents a disease from becoming an epidemic.jdegehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01495457567906071678noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2807403883562053852.post-11215761150273743902014-10-02T06:00:03.107-06:002014-10-02T06:00:03.107-06:00The article states that 10% of the population carr...The article states that 10% of the population carries the gene. That's not enough to prevent an epidemic.jdegehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01495457567906071678noreply@blogger.com