tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2807403883562053852.post1530992965457481003..comments2024-03-27T08:40:31.785-06:00Comments on Clayton Cramer.: Less Lethal Than We ThoughtClayton Cramerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03258083387204776812noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2807403883562053852.post-25106396378291666282020-04-19T13:27:52.584-06:002020-04-19T13:27:52.584-06:00Hal: I thought that was the voter turnout %.Hal: I thought that was the voter turnout %.Clayton Cramerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03258083387204776812noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2807403883562053852.post-44178221214741110542020-04-19T11:47:19.910-06:002020-04-19T11:47:19.910-06:00And as for the Santa Clara study, if the numbers w...And as for the Santa Clara study, if the numbers were extrapolated to NYC, it would indicate that 120% of the population is positive for the virus. That seems high.Hal Dustonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03579515713751458192noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2807403883562053852.post-45905662534029410722020-04-18T14:58:08.127-06:002020-04-18T14:58:08.127-06:00That's one way to look at it. But the other wa...That's one way to look at it. But the other way is to notice that the deaths are still really high - number per day is about the same as for cardiovascular disease and higher than any other cause. And, without all the mitigation, those deaths would be more than one order of magnitude higher - especially once the health system became overloaded, which it did in some local areas just with this low level.<br /><br />Also, we don't know how representative the Santa Clara County sample is.<br /><br />But... hopefully more serological surveys will be done soon.StormCchaserhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02998174514362089471noreply@blogger.com